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Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 11, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes27%
No73%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance29.5%
27.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$239.35
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
339.4
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x51c27584...34adf1
Slug
will-the-median-home-value-in-the-chicago-metro-be-between-318000-and-323000-on-december-31-2026