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Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,062,000 and $1,083,000 on December 31?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 11, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes22%
No78%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance23.5%
21.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$325.99
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
426.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xaab54954...186bd7
Slug
will-the-median-home-value-in-san-francisco-metro-be-between-1062000-and-1083000-on-december-31-2026