Back to Markets
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 8
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance1.1%
0.1¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$9061.21
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
9161.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x0a150e16...37e8bf
Slug
will-the-labour-party-win-fewer-than-30-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election