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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
33
Yes 67%
Total Value
$163.07
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
22 of 33 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa92da1bc...7caeba
Slug
will-the-joint-list-win-less-than-4pt5-percent-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-knesset-elections