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Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes41%
No59%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance43.0%
41.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Tech 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$132.70
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
232.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xfa55e7e4...64316f
Slug
will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-an-anthropic-claude-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-65-or-higher-20260723190836288