Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027

Yes16¢No84¢Ends Fri, Jan 1, 2027View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

📊

Open

Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes16%
No84%

Chat

EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance17.6%

16.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Tech 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$469.33
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
569.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x97f8b62d...d8701f
Slug
will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-meta-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-60-or-higher-20260723191934219

Traders in this Market

Trade on Polymarket