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Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.8 – 8.9?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 7, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.0%
0.9¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$4788.54
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
4888.5
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x22873c50...d51e6c
Slug
will-the-highest-magnitude-earthquake-in-2026-be-8pt8-8pt9