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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4

Yes6¢No94¢Ends Wed, Nov 4, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes6%
No94%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance7.3%

6.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1277.33
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1377.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x9cefa891...262ffe
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-new-york-gubernatorial-election-by-5-10

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