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Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 4
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes4%
No96%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance5.4%
4.3¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1735.21
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1835.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xa6de2bce...dd3f17
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-nebraska-senate-election-by-3-or-more