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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 4
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes45%
No55%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance46.8%
44.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$113.71
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
213.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x67e257e4...24c4d4
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-nc-05-house-election-by-0-3