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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes20%
No81%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance21.2%
19.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$372.77
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
472.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x74913632...91e192
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-mi-03-house-election-by-20-25