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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$123.44
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes23%
No77%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 IstarothARB<$100 | Noavg 82.3¢ | $129.04 | $123.44 | -$4.27 | 17% 399-1952 (2351) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 82.3¢ | $104.7 | $97.99 | -$6.7 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 18.1¢ | $23.07 | $25.45 | +$2.43 |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance24.7%
23.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$304.37
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
404.4
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb2ded7e9...843784
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-georgia-gubernatorial-election-by-3-6