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Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Mar 15, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$892.48
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes43%
No57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 IstarothARB<$100 | Noavg 50.8¢ | $907.55 | $892.48 | -$11.91 | 21% 292-1070 (1362) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 50.8¢ | $453.78 | $508.72 | +$54.6 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 50.4¢ | $450.16 | $383.76 | -$66.51 |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance45.2%
43.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Culture 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$121.08
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
221.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x4a0b47cc...09a52a
Slug
will-the-debut-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422