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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 13, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$43.66
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x557d21a6...f0e41c
Slug
will-spacex-starship-flight-test-15-launch-by-november-13