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Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes57%
No43%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance59.4%
57.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Tech 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$68.43
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
168.4
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x29bb6476...334816
Slug
will-spacex-have-between-120-139-launches-in-2026