Back to Markets
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance1.2%
0.1¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Tech 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$8264.90
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
8364.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x47ac8777...b31940
Slug
will-spacex-be-the-third-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-december-31-20260806180053505