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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$272.12
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x877624a3...b510ed
Slug
will-somali-pirates-successfully-seize-a-vessel-by-october-31-2026