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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 83%
Total Value
$3.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf5a2de86...dcb774
Slug
will-russia-target-kyiv-on-october-4-2026