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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?

Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

6

Yes 83%

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

$0

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 6 top traders (83%)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xf5a2de86...dcb774
Slug
will-russia-target-kyiv-on-october-4-2026

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