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Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes93%
No7%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance94.3%
93.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$6.07
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
106.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1239d3bd...409186
Slug
will-robert-luna-win-the-2026-los-angeles-county-sheriff-election-20260626005329057