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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Republicans win 14–15% of the Black vote?
Resolved No. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Yes 58%
Total Value
$20.03
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 12 top traders (58%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x10b7f2b1...b98d78
Slug
will-republicans-win-1415-of-the-black-vote