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PolyConsensus
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Will PSOE receive between 26% and 28% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 30

Yes43¢No57¢Ends Mon, Nov 30, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes43%
No57%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance44.5%

42.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$124.80
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
224.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x32c78d0f...884277
Slug
will-psoe-receive-between-26-and-28-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election

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