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Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 30
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes74%
No27%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance75.3%
73.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$32.87
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
132.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x0b2af95d...870215
Slug
will-pp-win-the-ceuta-seat-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election