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NoYesYesNo
balthazar<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will PN win the 2026 Melaka general elections?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 67%
Total Value
$47.27
Combined PnL
-$4.04
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$47.27
Total Shares47
Combined PnL-$2.35
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares31
Combined PnL-$1.69
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $47.22 | $47.27 | +$0.05 | 36% 263-468 (731) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $1.18 | — | -$1.18 | 24% 100-319 (419) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $8.53 | — | -$0.51 | 26% 715-2057 (2772) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $9.99 | — | -$0.44 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $49.95 | — | -$1.95 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
GO
god83743894<$100Invested
$47.22
Value
$47.27
PnL
+$0.05
Record
36%
263-468 (731)
KO
korda77CTR<$100Invested
$1.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.18
Record
24%
100-319 (419)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$8.53
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
26%
715-2057 (2772)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
$9.99
Value
—
PnL
-$0.44
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
balthazar<$100Invested
$49.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2c506b4d...2e5aab
Slug
will-pn-win-the-2026-melaka-general-elections