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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Philip Zinckernagel win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?

Resolved No. 95% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

22

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$12.92

Smart Money Signal

Yes

21 of 22 top traders (95%)21 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes21 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,017
Combined PnL-$12.92
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 95%No — 5%
CR
crckrCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$4.93

Value

—

PnL

-$4.93

Record

28%

797-2091 (2888)

MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.03

Value

—

PnL

-$6.81

Record

45%

9808-11964 (21772)

0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$0.68

Record

39%

1311-2070 (3381)

LU
luciebotCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$0.01

Record

28%

3048-7956 (11004)

GO
godblessme2026CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.01

Value

—

PnL

-$0.01

Record

44%

13945-17925 (31870)

JO
JordanMooneyCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$0.42

Record

34%

2142-4117 (6259)

LornaPredictsCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

19%

2981-12794 (15775)

GH
ghorrockCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0

Value

—

PnL

-$0.01

Record

58%

23579-16943 (40522)

E4
e46m3CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

33619-19478 (53097)

balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

33217-64988 (98205)

0X
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

7026-11132 (18158)

LucerysCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

45%

18006-22281 (40287)

QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

43869-46551 (90420)

AH
aHjCzCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

+$0.01

Record

36%

6093-11041 (17134)

GR
graynotebook19CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

60%

18915-12738 (31653)

NO
northdrawerCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

23834-18418 (42252)

VI
VictorLudorumCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

45%

7018-8417 (15435)

GO
god83743894CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

38%

16029-25855 (41884)

QU
quietparcelCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

11465-12267 (23732)

HaradwaithCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

6684-10176 (16860)

SM
smallreceiptCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

10314-12253 (22567)

CR
cry.eth2CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

38%

10496-17229 (27725)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xad71fa8b...a1f1f8
Slug
will-philip-zinckernagel-win-the-2026-mls-golden-boot-697

Traders in this Market

CR

crckr

CTR

Yes — $0

-$4.93
MI

mildwindow27

CTR

Yes — $0

-$6.81
0X

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.68
LU

luciebot

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.01
GO

godblessme2026

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.01
JO

JordanMooney

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.42

LornaPredicts

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.05
GH

ghorrock

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.01
E4

e46m3

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0

balthazar

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
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