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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Resolved No. 21% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Yes 21%
Total Value
$139.54
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 14 top traders (21%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7345fbda...6ca66c
Slug
will-parties-below-the-electoral-threshold-receive-8-or-higher-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-20261019152743816