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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 83%
Total Value
$352.94
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4df70a4c...988dee
Slug
will-openai-or-anthropic-announce-recursive-self-improvement-by-october-31-2026