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NoNoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Oliver Glasner be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 67%
Total Value
$50
Combined PnL
-$1.97
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$50
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$0.05
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$2.02
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $29.97 | $30 | +$0.03 | 29% 893-2183 (3076) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $19.98 | $20 | +$0.02 | 53% 6091-5453 (11544) |
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $2.02 | — | -$2.02 | 40% 1476-2199 (3675) |
GO god83743894CTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $2.02 | — | +$0 | 18% 83-367 (450) |
QU quietparcelCTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $2.02 | — | +$0 | 25% 93-281 (374) |
MI
mildwindow27<$100Invested
$29.97
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.03
Record
29%
893-2183 (3076)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$19.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.02
Record
53%
6091-5453 (11544)
HA
haveagooddayCTR<$100Invested
$2.02
Value
—
PnL
-$2.02
Record
40%
1476-2199 (3675)
GO
god83743894CTR<$100Invested
$2.02
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
83-367 (450)
QU
quietparcelCTR<$100Invested
$2.02
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
93-281 (374)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x50ea322f...070856
Slug
will-oliver-glasner-be-the-first-premier-league-manager-sacked-in-2026-27