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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Nepal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final?

Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 71%

Total Value

$40

Combined PnL

-$2.44

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders

Total Value$40

Total Shares40

Combined PnL+$4.08

Yes7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares206

Combined PnL-$6.52

No — 30%Yes — 70%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO godblessme2026<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	$29.91	$30	+$0.09	35% 290-535 (825)
GR graynotebook19<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$9.99	$10	+$0.01	27% 1031-2734 (3765)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$3.52	—	-$3.52	18% 853-3934 (4787)
E4 e46m3CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$4.74	—	-$1.75	42% 2632-3664 (6296)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$0.7	—	-$0.7	43% 5103-6732 (11835)
AH aHjCzCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$0.39	—	-$0.39	25% 1318-3976 (5294)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$0.16	—	-$0.16	26% 715-2057 (2772)
WA WarriorHCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	9% 15-143 (158)
QU quietparcel<$100	Noavg 83.6¢	$25.08	—	+$3.98	34% 238-461 (699)
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	17% 25-124 (149)

godblessme2026<$100

Invested

$29.91

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.09

Record

35%

290-535 (825)

graynotebook19<$100

Invested

$9.99

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.01

Record

27%

1031-2734 (3765)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Invested

$3.52

Value

—

PnL

-$3.52

Record

18%

853-3934 (4787)

Invested

$4.74

Value

—

PnL

-$1.75

Record

42%

2632-3664 (6296)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

$0.7

Value

—

PnL

-$0.7

Record

43%

5103-6732 (11835)

Invested

$0.39

Value

—

PnL

-$0.39

Record

25%

1318-3976 (5294)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

26%

715-2057 (2772)

WarriorHCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

9%

15-143 (158)

quietparcel<$100

Invested

$25.08

Value

—

PnL

+$3.98

Record

34%

238-461 (699)

SulkingCryptoCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

17%

25-124 (149)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x80b7f476...d6ee7d

Slug

will-nepal-be-the-jury-winner-in-the-eurovision-asia-2026-grand-final

Traders in this Market

godblessme2026

No — $30

graynotebook19

No — $10

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

Yes — $0

e46m3

Yes — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

aHjCz

Yes — $0

luciebot

Yes — $0

WarriorH

Yes — $0

quietparcel

No — $0

SulkingCrypto

Yes — $0

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