Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
14
Yes 100%
$0
-$1.83
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PO pollo07CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 32% 292-610 (902) |
VA Vale54holiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 28% 151-380 (531) |
LI LikaseentCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 30% 176-414 (590) |
AK akrollCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 33% 295-592 (887) |
KL klli27CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 32% 269-575 (844) |
ZE zerone777CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.6¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 42% 370-508 (878) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 94.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20228-12642 (32870) |
BI Bigggggggg<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 2700-3243 (5943) |
CO cowcatCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 1540-1346 (2886) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4817-4363 (9180) |
HO HourglassCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 77% 8529-2565 (11094) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 93.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14393-25798 (40191) |
IN influenz.eth<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 9382-12951 (22333) |
CR cry.eth2<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 9351-12886 (22237) |
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
32%
292-610 (902)
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
28%
151-380 (531)
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
30%
176-414 (590)
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
33%
295-592 (887)
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
32%
269-575 (844)
Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
42%
370-508 (878)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20228-12642 (32870)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
2700-3243 (5943)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
1540-1346 (2886)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4817-4363 (9180)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
77%
8529-2565 (11094)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14393-25798 (40191)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
9382-12951 (22333)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
9351-12886 (22237)
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