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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 60%
Total Value
$2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 11 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0fea375f...26fd38
Slug
will-national-dialogue-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election