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Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jun 7, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes30%
No70%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance31.9%
30.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$213.92
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
313.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xcf1cc654...a11d07
Slug
will-morena-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-guanajuato-congress-election