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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$79.93
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb66c9f7b...a33ea9
Slug
will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194842696