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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 80%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa4716574...ce3b50
Slug
will-microsoft-be-the-second-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-october-31-2026