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YesYesNo
vinii<$100YesYes
KimchiCapital<$100Yes
Istaroth<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Resolved Yes. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$546.18
Combined PnL
$104.99
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes7 traders
Total Value$546.18
Total Shares546
Combined PnL+$104.99
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 88%No — 12%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Yesavg 99.5¢ | $290.28 | $291.82 | +$1.54 | 99% 12306-175 (12481) |
01 01258787xy48487484545122 | Yesavg 59.3¢ | $150.91 | $254.36 | +$103.45 | 65% 244-134 (378) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 5144-7070 (12214) |
vinii<$100 | Yesavg 63.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 73% 2617-957 (3574) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 70.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12489-9413 (21902) |
KimchiCapital<$100 | Yesavg 38.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 479-154 (633) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 69¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 271-412 (683) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Yesavg 59.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14275-25592 (39867) |
ZX
zxc368Invested
$290.28
Value
$291.82
PnL
+$1.54
Record
99%
12306-175 (12481)
01
01258787xy48487484545122Invested
$150.91
Value
$254.36
PnL
+$103.45
Record
65%
244-134 (378)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
5144-7070 (12214)
vinii<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
2617-957 (3574)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12489-9413 (21902)
KimchiCapital<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
479-154 (633)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
271-412 (683)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14275-25592 (39867)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7a9b9fc8...44637b
Slug
will-michael-owen-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony