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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.52
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares290
Combined PnL-$0.52
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.52 | — | -$0.52 | 13% 50-326 (376) |
HY HypurrrrrrCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | +$0 | — |
IT ItlliccaaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | +$0 | — |
BL BlaorraCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | +$0 | — |
AV AvvnnnnCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | +$0 | — |
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe7b0fc54...155be6
Slug
will-mauricio-pineda-win-2026-mls-defender-of-the-year