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Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 9%-12%?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 3
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.4%
1.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3995.35
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
4095.4
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x5deb2a74...deffae
Slug
will-mary-peltola-win-the-2026-alaska-senate-first-round-by-9-12