Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Martín Ojeda win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
Resolved No. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
23
Yes 100%
$0
$1.64
Smart Money Signal
11 of 23 top traders (48%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR crckrCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.1¢ | $4.93 | — | -$4.93 | 28% 797-2091 (2888) |
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0¢ | $0.03 | — | -$4.24 | 45% 9808-11964 (21772) |
 LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.09 | — | -$0.09 | 19% 2981-12794 (15775) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$0.68 | 39% 1311-2070 (3381) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$0.01 | 28% 3048-7956 (11004) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0¢ | $0 | — | -$0.01 | 58% 23579-16943 (40522) |
GO godblessme2026CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0¢ | $10 | — | +$11.49 | 44% 13945-17925 (31870) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | Noavg 83.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 33619-19478 (53097) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 34% 33217-64988 (98205) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 39% 7026-11132 (18158) |
 LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 18006-22281 (40287) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 43869-46551 (90420) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | $17.6 | — | +$0.1 | 36% 6093-11041 (17134) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 18915-12738 (31653) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 23834-18418 (42252) |
VI VictorLudorum<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 7018-8417 (15435) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 36.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 38% 16029-25855 (41884) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 84.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 48% 11465-12267 (23732) |
 HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 6684-10176 (16860) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 10314-12253 (22567) |
JO JordanMooney<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 34% 2142-4117 (6259) |
PL plainfolder<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 33% 4753-9831 (14584) |
CR cry.eth2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 38% 10496-17229 (27725) |
Invested
$4.93
Value
—
PnL
-$4.93
Record
28%
797-2091 (2888)
Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$4.24
Record
45%
9808-11964 (21772)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
—
PnL
-$0.09
Record
19%
2981-12794 (15775)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$0.68
Record
39%
1311-2070 (3381)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
28%
3048-7956 (11004)
Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
58%
23579-16943 (40522)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
+$11.49
Record
44%
13945-17925 (31870)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
33619-19478 (53097)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
33217-64988 (98205)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
39%
7026-11132 (18158)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
18006-22281 (40287)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
43869-46551 (90420)
Invested
$17.6
Value
—
PnL
+$0.1
Record
36%
6093-11041 (17134)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
18915-12738 (31653)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
23834-18418 (42252)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
7018-8417 (15435)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
16029-25855 (41884)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
11465-12267 (23732)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
6684-10176 (16860)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
10314-12253 (22567)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
2142-4117 (6259)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
33%
4753-9831 (14584)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
10496-17229 (27725)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
crckr
CTRYes — $0
mildwindow27
CTRYes — $0
LornaPredicts
CTRYes — $0
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
CTRYes — $0
luciebot
CTRYes — $0
ghorrock
CTRYes — $0
godblessme2026
CTRYes — $0
e46m3
No — $0
balthazar
CTRYes — $0
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033
No — $0