Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Will Álvaro Arbeloa be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Dec 31

Yes50¢No50¢Ends Thu, Dec 31, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

📊

Open

Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes50%
No51%

Chat

EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance51.7%

49.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$93.24
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
193.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x87300006...1f3c67
Slug
will-lvaro-arbeloa-be-appointed-as-manager-of-real-madrid

Traders in this Market

Trade on Polymarket