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Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 29
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes79%
No22%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance80.2%
78.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$24.76
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
124.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x8df01372...2b86f5
Slug
will-liberal-national-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-legislative-council-election-20261008161713819