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Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jun 7, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes40%
No61%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance41.5%
39.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$141.17
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
241.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x2b6e0c3e...d8cc8d
Slug
will-leonardo-montanez-castro-win-the-2027-aguascalientes-governor-election-20260803173849649