Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Laos be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final?

Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 67%

Total Value

$52.54

Combined PnL

-$1.23

Smart Money Signal

Yes

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders

Total Value$52.54

Total Shares53

Combined PnL+$3.41

Yes6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares149

Combined PnL-$4.64

No — 40%Yes — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SM smallreceipt<$100	Noavg 99.5¢	$29.86	$30	+$0.14	30% 253-582 (835)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 99.6¢	$23.15	$22.54	-$0.61	43% 5103-6732 (11835)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$2.35	—	-$2.35	18% 853-3934 (4787)
E4 e46m3CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$1.75	—	-$1.75	42% 2632-3664 (6296)
AH aHjCzCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$0.39	—	-$0.39	25% 1318-3976 (5294)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$0.16	—	-$0.16	26% 715-2057 (2772)
NO northdrawer<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$9.99	—	-$0.3	29% 1113-2674 (3787)
WA WarriorHCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	9% 15-143 (158)
QU quietparcel<$100	Noavg 82.9¢	$24.87	—	+$4.19	34% 238-461 (699)
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	17% 25-124 (149)

smallreceipt<$100

Invested

$29.86

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.14

Record

30%

253-582 (835)

Invested

$23.15

Value

$22.54

PnL

-$0.61

Record

43%

5103-6732 (11835)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Invested

$2.35

Value

—

PnL

-$2.35

Record

18%

853-3934 (4787)

Invested

$1.75

Value

—

PnL

-$1.75

Record

42%

2632-3664 (6296)

Invested

$0.39

Value

—

PnL

-$0.39

Record

25%

1318-3976 (5294)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

26%

715-2057 (2772)

northdrawer<$100

Invested

$9.99

Value

—

PnL

-$0.3

Record

29%

1113-2674 (3787)

WarriorHCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

9%

15-143 (158)

quietparcel<$100

Invested

$24.87

Value

—

PnL

+$4.19

Record

34%

238-461 (699)

SulkingCryptoCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

17%

25-124 (149)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x828cdf5b...3c9100

Slug

will-laos-be-the-jury-winner-in-the-eurovision-asia-2026-grand-final

Traders in this Market

smallreceipt

No — $30

balthazar

No — $22.54

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

Yes — $0

e46m3

Yes — $0

aHjCz

Yes — $0

luciebot

Yes — $0

northdrawer

No — $0

WarriorH

Yes — $0

quietparcel

No — $0

SulkingCrypto

Yes — $0

Trade on Polymarket