Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
No 33%
$899.48
$150.87
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 mrworldwide | Noavg 77.2¢ | $696.74 | $899.48 | +$202.74 | 69% 762-349 (1111) |
 paddaaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 36.3¢ | $51 | — | -$51.63 | 56% 801-617 (1418) |
 NadmiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 47% 2024-2241 (4265) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 88.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20416-12803 (33219) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 63¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6198-5435 (11633) |
YO YouSayUpISayDown<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 3641-3171 (6812) |
 ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 15181-11609 (26790) |
 archaic<$100 | Noavg 74.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 85% 1851-337 (2188) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 23.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14458-25898 (40356) |
mrworldwideInvested
$696.74
Value
$899.48
PnL
+$202.74
Record
69%
762-349 (1111)
paddaaCTR<$100Invested
$51
Value
—
PnL
-$51.63
Record
56%
801-617 (1418)
NadmiCTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
47%
2024-2241 (4265)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20416-12803 (33219)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6198-5435 (11633)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
3641-3171 (6812)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
15181-11609 (26790)
archaic<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
85%
1851-337 (2188)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14458-25898 (40356)
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