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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Apr 19, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes52%
No49%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance53.5%
51.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$86.92
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
186.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7c9c13d0...d13bc2
Slug
will-jean-luc-mlenchon-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election