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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Iran target Bahrain by November 30, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 50%
Total Value
$321.54
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x823e975d...820dcc
Slug
will-iran-target-bahrain-by-november-30-2026-20261113