Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 30, 2027

Yes65¢No35¢Ends Sat, Jan 30, 2027View on Polymarket

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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes65%

No35%

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yes wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance66.9%

65.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$49.48

Max Loss

-$100.00

Shares

149.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.