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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Resolved No. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
14
No 58%
Total Value
$199.16
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 14 top traders (58%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x31317ee9...1f0da5
Slug
will-hezbollah-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election