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Will Héctor Osuna Jaime win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jun 7, 2027

Yes<1¢No>99¢Ends Mon, Jun 7, 2027View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance1.2%

0.1¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$8264.90
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
8364.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x49159a8a...80ff6d
Slug
will-hector-osuna-jaime-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850238

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