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Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes54%
No47%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance55.5%
53.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Tech 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$80.21
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
180.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xf3918045...38cb29
Slug
will-google-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026