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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$271.08
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x780ee513...072d0c
Slug
will-githubs-longest-critical-incident-in-october-2026-be-at-least-12-hours