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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?

Resolved Yes. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Yes 100%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$83.73

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes8 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,497

Combined PnL+$83.73

No3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

Yes — 73%No — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick	Yesavg 99.8¢	$776	$776	+$1.17	98% 2932-70 (3002)
OraculumNobius	Yesavg 99.9¢	$500	$500.5	+$0.5	89% 5140-604 (5744)
KimchiCapital	Yesavg 64¢	$137.94	$220	+$82.06	76% 469-152 (621)
balthazarCTR<$100	Noavg 27.8¢	—	—	+$0	62% 19071-11688 (30759)
KA kaxel78CTR<$100	Noavg 7¢	—	—	+$0	34% 233-444 (677)
LI lissartter<$100	Yesavg 74¢	—	—	+$0	42% 5135-7056 (12191)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Yesavg 68.7¢	—	—	+$0	53% 5862-5130 (10992)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100	Yesavg 89.2¢	—	—	+$0	32% 3992-8471 (12463)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100	Noavg 11¢	—	—	+$0	47% 124-142 (266)
Istaroth<$100	Yesavg 88.1¢	—	—	+$0	42% 269-368 (637)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Yesavg 70.2¢	—	—	+$0	36% 14106-25213 (39319)

Invested

$776

Value

$776

PnL

+$1.17

Record

98%

2932-70 (3002)

Invested

$500

Value

$500.5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

89%

5140-604 (5744)

Invested

$137.94

Value

$220

PnL

+$82.06

Record

76%

469-152 (621)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

19071-11688 (30759)

kaxel78CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

233-444 (677)

lissartter<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

5135-7056 (12191)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

5862-5130 (10992)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

3992-8471 (12463)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

124-142 (266)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

269-368 (637)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14106-25213 (39319)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2b716428...14a7af

Slug

will-gemini-4-argon-high-be-the-best-ai-model-on-october-26-2026

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

Yes — $776

OraculumNobius

Yes — $500.5

KimchiCapital

Yes — $220

balthazar

No — $0

kaxel78

No — $0

lissartter

Yes — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

Yes — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

No — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

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